Two forecasts published on Wednesday predict a historic election victory for Britain’s Labor Party.
British politics will be turned upside down in the July 4 general election, if YouGov and Savanta/Electoral Calculus forecasts released on Wednesday are to be believed.
In the predictions, the labor party Labor is predicted to have the biggest election victory in its history, and the conservative party Tory a merciless crushing defeat.
Forecasts give Labor either 425 or 516 seats in the 650-seat lower house of parliament.
Either outcome, if realized, would be the biggest electoral victory for the opposition ever in the history of British politics.
Tory’s number of seats will collapse to 108 if Yougov’s prediction comes true. This would be the lowest number of seats in the party’s 200-year history.
An even more radical decline was predicted by Savanta/Electoral Calculus, according to which the conservatives would lose only a paltry 53 seats. This would be only slightly more than the Liberal Party, for which the forecast indicated 50 seats.
The predictions tell about Sunak’s election campaign’s stomach bill
Prime Minister of the Conservative Party Rishi Sunak unexpectedly went to the snap election he announced from a weak position after the last few years of turmoil in the Conservative Party. Sunak’s election campaign has failed to convince the British of the Conservatives’ ability to reform.
Sunak’s campaign has been criticized for its superficiality and stylistic errors. Most recently, Sunak drew ire after leaving the Normandy landings commemoration day early during a visit to France.
The Labor Party Keir Starmer has again played it safe in his campaign and trusted that the British are tired of the current leadership.
The wild card in the election race has been the leading star of Brexit Nigel Farage with his Reform UK party. The openly anti-EU, right-wing populist Reform UK is predicted to win five seats in the parliamentary elections.
Source: AFP