Presidential election: Macron shakes his pedestal

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With eight days to go before the first round, the president-candidate is starting to get nervous. He fears not to be present in the second round and, if he succeeds, to be beaten by Marine Le Pen. Branlebas of combat at LAREM.

Until the last few days, the president-candidate snubbed all his challengers in the race for the Élysée, assured, by months of phony polls, of being reelected without difficulty. He did not deign to present his record to the French, nor did he condescend to debate before the first round. How difficult it is for Jupiter to come down from Olympus! Is the start-up France no longer up to his standards?

An egg on the skull

Only, during this time, the other candidates, from the extreme left to the extreme right, have thrown themselves, body and soul, into the political arena. With more or less happiness, more or less conviction, more or less talent. They have ploughed the hexagonal soil, they have shaken thousands of hands, they have been booed, insulted, booed, applauded a few times. Some took an egg on the skull, others were heckled, others still got the Covid.
Meanwhile, the president-candidate, more concerned with geopolitics than with domestic politics and the fate of the French people, is waiting for the people, the populace, to plebiscite him, on April 10, and then to consecrate him, on April 24, for the second time, as God of Olympus, the one who commands all the other gods of Heaven and Earth.

No reserve of votes for Macron

However, things are not going as planned. The closer the election date gets, the more the lines move, with the front-runner gradually being caught up by his pursuers.
According to a BVA poll for Orange and RTL, the president-candidate is certainly leading in voting intentions in the first round, but he is losing one more point (27%) while, just behind him, Marie Le Pen is winning 2 (21 %). And Jean-Luc Mélenchon still nibbles a few points with 15.5% of voting intentions. Valérie Pécresse and Eric Zemmour are equal (9.5%). Yannick Jadot is at 5%, Fabien Roussel at 3.5%, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan at about 2.5%, Jean Lassalle and Anne Hidalgo at 2%, Nathalie Arthaud and Philippe Poutou at about 1%.
In the second round, this poll gives Macron the winner with 54.5 against 45.5 for Le Pen. But an Elabe poll for BFMTV gives Macron 52.5% against 47.5% for Le Pen.
The gap is therefore narrowing further. It is even within the margin of error.
Of course, the president candidate is leading the first round, but he has no reserve of votes for the second round, while Marine Le Pen can count on most of the votes cast for Eric Zemmour, plus those of part of the far left, plus part of the votes of Valerie Pécresse.
And there, it can tip over.

LAREM sounds the tocsin

The entourage of the head of state has understood the danger. “Yes, of course, Marine Le Pen can win,” warned former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe. A few days earlier, the Minister of the Interior, Gérald Darmanin, sounded the alarm during the Grand Rendezvous of Cnews/Europe 1 and Les Echos: “I think that the President of the Republic has not won the election in advance. There is a great risk that a far-right candidate could win.
In reality, it is the whole of the Macronie who is wondering and worrying. The repeated scandals that suddenly splashed the president, the McKinsey Gate, the Rothschild Gate, the management of the Yellow Vests crisis, then of the health crisis, his unacceptable remarks towards those who challenge his authority, are coming back to the surface.
Jupiter suddenly wobbles on his pedestal. With eight days to go before the presidential election, the outcome of the vote is more uncertain than ever.



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