The red-green bloc got a majority and the Tidö parties backed down when the votes were counted after Sunday’s elections to the European Parliament. But it is not a given that the result will be seen in the 2026 parliamentary election.
This is what Jenny Madestam, docent in political science at Södertörn University, thinks:
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– They usually mirror each other, that you get a feeling for roughly what the balance of power looks like. However, you cannot look at the result in an EU election, draw a straight line and think that this is how the outcome will be in a parliamentary election.
Shorter election campaigns
Henrik Ekegren Oscarsson, professor of political science at the University of Gothenburg, is on the same line. He adds that there are clear differences between the two different elections – among other things, smaller parties tend to do better in the elections to the European Parliament.
– Election campaigns are usually much shorter. The parties invest less, there is less media coverage and it is easier for too small challenger parties to assert themselves, says Henrik Ekengren Oscarsson.
Hear more from the two political scientists in the video above.