In the latest Eurobarometer survey published on April 17, more than seven in 10 European Union citizens say they are likely to participate in the European elections next June, up ten points compared to the similar study in 2019. voting intention rate is 78% in Germany, 75% in Luxembourg and Belgium, 70% in Italy and Spain. It is only 67% in France and 57% in Portugal.
Germany: the CDU/CSU in the lead
In terms of voting intentions, according toaggregation of several Euronews polls on April 25 and 26, the CDU/CSU alliance (the right-wing Christian Democratic CDU and the Christian Social Union CSU) is in the lead in Germany, with 30.2%. The far-right AfD party is in second position, with more than 17%, followed by the Social Democratic SPD party, of Chancellor Olaf Scholz, (15.7%), The Greens (Grüne) with 7.5% of the votes and then the BSW (radical left) at 5.9%.
Spain: the favorite People’s Party
According to the same aggregator using several polls in May 2024, the Spanish Popular Party (PP, liberal-conservative) is in the lead (37.2%) in Spain. The Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) is not very far at nearly 30% of voting intentions (29.6%), far ahead of the far-right Vox party (10.5%), the left-wing Sumar coalition (9%). and Podemos (far left) with 2.8%.
Italy: Meloni’s party ahead
In Italy, the far-right party of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, Fratelli d’Italia, is leading the voting intentions (again according to the aggregation of several Euronews polls as of April 22), with around 28%, followed by the Democratic Party (center left, 20.3%), the 5 Star Movement (16.5%), Lega (the northern league, far right) and FI, center right party (8.4 and 83% respectively ).
Portugal: short lead for the social democrats
Finally in Portugal, where voting intention is one of the lowest in Europe, it is the Social Democratic Party (PSD) which would obtain the most votes. According to one major European Ipsos survey – Euronews published on March 19, the movement is credited with 31% of voting intentions, followed by the Socialist Party PS (29.6%), the right-wing conservative party Chega (12%), the Liberal Initiative with 4.5%. of votes and the “Left Bloc” at 4.4%.