“Putin could be gone tomorrow”

Putin is currently the only realistic winner in the 2024 Russian presidential election.

But four possible pitfalls stand in his way.

– He could be gone tomorrow, says spy veteran Jack Devine, who believes the threat comes from within.

A lot seems to have gone Russia’s way lately.

Ukraine’s counter-offensive has been slower than many had hoped, the US Congress is arguing about whether military support to the country should continue and the EU’s billion-dollar package was stopped by Hungary.

In addition, a Republican victory in the US presidential election next year would completely play into Putin’s hands.

Four threats against Putin

The German newspaper Bild recently stated, citing inside sources, that Russia is sketching a plan that extends beyond 2026 where the goal is to occupy more of Ukraine than the four regions it has conquered so far.

But Jack Devine, a CIA veteran with 30 years in American espionage, believes that dissatisfaction with Putin is high within the Kremlin, states the New York Post.

The newspaper lists four possible ways in which the president is threatened – despite the fact that he holds all the power and is the only realistic candidate to win the Russian elections next March.

It is stated that “a growing number of military experts” suspect that Putin’s regime does not have far to go. In that scenario, he could be brought down by a coup, an assassin, regime collapse or deteriorating health.

“Could be gone tomorrow”

– Putin could be gone tomorrow, says Jack Devine and says he will not be surprised if it is elements within the government that are behind it in that case.

The spy veteran believes that Putin has become increasingly erratic and dangerous and that the war has “sown the seeds of his political downfall”.

Devine says the situation in Ukraine could lead to a protracted stalemate with locked positions fighting for marginal gains in a war that appears to have no end in sight.

– The more losses and the more violence that becomes visible to the public, the less people want to have anything to do with it, he says.

Dropped by deadlock

The CIA veteran believes that Putin will continue with the war, regardless of the cost in money and human life. But when the people realize that they have been caught, the criticism will increase.

– I think his problems start when there is a stalemate and it is now. I don’t believe in a popular uprising. I think it will be what you could call a palace coup, says the CIA veteran according to the New York Post.

– It will come as a surprise.

The “Black Swan” theory

He describes a possible Russian palace coup as a “Black Swan” situation, a theory developed to explain the dominant role of unexpected events in history.

According to the theory, almost all major historical events are examples of “Black Swan” events.

Doctor of Economics Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who launched the term, mentions the emergence of the Internet and the attacks of September 11, 2001 as examples of such events that no one could reasonably have predicted – and therefore did not count on its importance in advance.

The expression comes from the “truth” that all swans are white. Something that turned out to be wrong when a species of black swans was found in Australia.