In two days, a very discreet election will take place in France: the senatorial elections. Some 79,000 voters – mayors, local elected officials – are called to the polls on Sunday to renew half of the seats in the Senate. The vote should not upset the major balances in the upper house of Parliament, largely dominated by the right.
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Nobody believes in a surprise. The mathematics is relentless: without electors, it is almost impossible to win new seats. The senatorial elections have in fact already been played out during the 2020 municipal elections. The right and the left had retained their strongholds. Result: the other parties have very little chance of expanding their group in the Senate.
Emmanuel Macron’s camp could even lose troops. Pension reform and tensions between communities and the government have left their mark. Despite failed municipal elections three years ago, the National Rally hopes to make its return to the hemicycle, with three seats in its sights.
But the big winners will remain the Republicans and their center allies. Even if on the left, some dream of surpassing the 100 senators mark and having more influence in the Senate. For the others, we will have to be patient, and wait for the municipal elections of 2026, to hope to reshuffle the cards at the Luxembourg Palace.
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