Result of Eric Zemmour in the 2022 legislative elections: will he reach the second round?

ZEMMOUR. After his failure in the presidential election, Eric Zemmour fell back on the legislative election, still with a right-wing union project. Candidate for the first time in the legislative elections in the Var, Eric Zemmour could qualify for the second round of voting this Sunday.

Look for a legislative result near you

[Mis à jour le 12 juin 2022 à 19h32] Eric Zemmour continues his debut in politics. After a first failed experience in the presidential election, the far-right candidate is trying his hand at the legislative elections. During the campaign for the legislative elections, Eric Zemmour once again tried to achieve “the union of the rights”, a project that is dear to him. But the National Rally and Les Républicains refused him. To the chagrin of the president of Reconquest! who nevertheless, once again, assured himself of being “the one who can bring together all the rights and all the right-wing people”, he who advocated the gathering “of the popular classes and a patriotic bourgeoisie.” A leitmotif that would make him “the only right-wing candidate” according to him, refusing to be assimilated to the far right. A speech that does not seem to have been heard.

Will he, this time, win his bet? While he had proclaimed loud and clear that he would be in the second round of the presidential election, Eric Zemmour had failed in his stated objective of becoming the first opponent and main opponent of Emmanuel Macron. Now, the former polemicist has set out to win a seat as a deputy in the National Assembly and is among the candidates for the legislative elections, the first round of which takes place this Sunday, June 12.

Two months almost to the day after his Elysian defeat, will the founder of Reconquest convince the voters of the 4th district of Var? This Sunday, they will indeed have at their disposal a bulletin marked with the name of the far-right essayist, who challenges the outgoing deputy from La République en Marche, again invested by Together (LREM and allies), Sereine Mauborgne .

From the crested Saint-Tropez to the hinterland, this territory is “a small summary of France” according to Eric Zemmour, parachuted on the shores of the Mediterranean, in a sector which could be favorable to him. Much more discreet than during the presidential campaign, the sexagenarian is counting on an entry into the Bourbon palace so as not to see his movement and his political current die out less just a few months after its official launch. Will voters trust him?

Eric Zemmour candidate … but not a voter in the Var

Eric Zemmour will not be able to tip the result of the legislative elections in the 4th district of Var in his favor. If the polemicist aspires to become deputy of the territory, he is not registered on the local electoral rolls. Indeed, the sexagenarian has no place of residence in this territory and nothing obliges legislative candidates to be registered in one of the municipalities of the constituency. His name will therefore remain on the list of an office in the 8th arrondissement of Paris, as for the presidential election. However, Eric Zemmour will not go there to vote but will take part in the ballot via a power of attorney.

A native of Seine-Saint-Denis, who stayed in Paris for his job as a journalist and then as a columnist, Eric Zemmour is not really a local child in the Var. While airdrops are often strongly criticized, can this harm the candidate? Not so sure. Because Eric Zemmour could obtain a result in the 4th district of Var, this Sunday. This is what various polling institutes have relied on (see below). Be careful however, because in the first round of the presidential election, if he had collected 14.7% of the votes cast in the constituency, this only represented 10.61% of the votes compared to the number of registered voters. However, on the side of Saint-Tropez (22.42%) or Grimaud (21.4%), Eric Zemmour had obtained a result three times higher than his national score.

A period of suspense, then the verdict. After his failure in the first round of the presidential election, Eric Zemmour is therefore running for the legislative elections, in the Var. The far-right candidate is launching in the 4th constituency, that of Saint-Tropez, Sainte-Maxime, Ramatuelle, Bornes-les-Mimosas, Les Arcs or even Le Luc.

Born in Montreuil, in Seine-Saint-Denis, studying in the suburbs then in Paris, before leading his entire career in the capital, the nomination of Eric Zemmour on the shores of the Mediterranean seems like a parachute drop. It is above all a land on which he quickly found an electorate won over to his cause during the campaign for the presidential election, especially since his entourage assures us that he is “very attached to his Mediterranean roots ” and that the Gulf of Saint-Tropez is “a region to which he is very attached”.

During the ballot, Eric Zemmour will face seven candidates: Sereine Mauborgne (LREM), Sabrine Ribeiro Teixeira (Animalist Party), Sabine Cristofani-Viglione (Nupes), Marie-Christine Hamel (LR), Pascale Morel (LO), Valérie Terrazzoni (Ecologist), Chantal Sarrut (Ecologist) and Philippe Lottiaux (RN).

If very few local polls on the legislative elections are carried out by the institutes, some nevertheless carry out surveys on voting intentions. This is particularly the case with Ifop, which questioned, from June 3 to 8, 600 people registered on the electoral lists in the constituency (112,039 registered on 1^er presidential tower). The result of the study credits Eric Zemmour with 24% of voting intentions on 1^er round, placing the candidate in 2^e position behind Sereine Meuborgne (LREM, outgoing MP, 31%), but ahead of Philippe Lottiaux (RN, 22%) and Sabine Cristofani-Viglion (16%, NUPES). In the second round, the far-right candidate would however be beaten by the representative of the presidential majority (51% to 49%).